Pinoy Buzz: vice presidential race

FORECAST: Robredo wins over Marcos in vice presidential race

<div dir="ltr" style="text-align: left;" trbidi="on">MANILA, Philippines - Liberal Party (LP) bet Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo won the vice presidential race against Independent candidate Sen. Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos Jr. based on TheSummitExpress' total votes forecast including the remaining election returns (ERs) and results of overseas absentee voting (OAV).<br /><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicNqW8SypTS8aKNfusR3FkR9XRWoqksCf-qNxj5QSPCLBbILpglktTX2zyXqX1VdyptTRHS2BpHZLgQ7tA4lEvOPRLLd7dGG3R0_vcanpEF2bYf9j2TiREgNs9nwTD6a0oTGzti0fNbVfP/s1600/robredo-marcos-vp-race.jpg" imageanchor="1" rel="nofollow" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img alt="Robredo wins over Marcos in vice presidential race" border="0" class="img" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicNqW8SypTS8aKNfusR3FkR9XRWoqksCf-qNxj5QSPCLBbILpglktTX2zyXqX1VdyptTRHS2BpHZLgQ7tA4lEvOPRLLd7dGG3R0_vcanpEF2bYf9j2TiREgNs9nwTD6a0oTGzti0fNbVfP/s1600/robredo-marcos-vp-race.jpg" title="Robredo wins over Marcos in vice presidential race" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Leni vs. BBM on vice presidential race. Photo Credit: Candidates' Facebook accounts</td></tr></tbody></table>In the probable vote counts (final, unofficial and giving full integrity to the results reflected on Comelec-GMA transparency server), <b>Robredo is expected to edge out Marcos by more than 200,000 votes</b>.<br /><br />As of 8:45 a.m. on Sunday, May 15, Robredo has 14,020,498 votes against 13,802,459 of Marcos or 218,039 lead in the race. The partial results represent 96.10-percent of the ERs (90,602 of 94,276 ) or (43,708,556 of 55,735,757 registered voters).<br /><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOkQh5ptm_9I0wWLuxkoLzdQOOv-OfbWUCTqiqu7hWCIFsIUn1UUTNnar9oUjGwVMvz9GaZuNblbyXJ3i8Ldl3qttw_4Jg8f8L4WXLZi4y7p0ZqaG0Qof8VXUcFRFZNKEAdtMnO67KLMb_/s1600/vp-update15.JPG" imageanchor="1" rel="nofollow" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img alt="VP update May 15" border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhOkQh5ptm_9I0wWLuxkoLzdQOOv-OfbWUCTqiqu7hWCIFsIUn1UUTNnar9oUjGwVMvz9GaZuNblbyXJ3i8Ldl3qttw_4Jg8f8L4WXLZi4y7p0ZqaG0Qof8VXUcFRFZNKEAdtMnO67KLMb_/s1600/vp-update15.JPG" title="VP update May 15" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Photo Credit: GMA News</td></tr></tbody></table>On Saturday afternoon, results of OAV were posted online by Comelec Commissioner Rowena V. Guanzon. Marcos trounced Robredo by 86,734 votes. Overseas voting turnout set record of 31-percent (432,706 out of 1,376,067).<br /><br /><center><blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><div dir="ltr" lang="en">OAV votes all in but this will have to be audited yet. See pic <a href="https://t.co/abknRX0qca" rel="nofollow">pic.twitter.com/abknRX0qca</a></div>— Rowena V. Guanzon (@commrguanzon) <a href="https://twitter.com/commrguanzon/status/731412907230146560" rel="nofollow">May 14, 2016</a></blockquote><script async="" charset="utf-8" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script></center><br /><center><blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><div dir="ltr" lang="en">Ok u spoiled kids here's the OAV breakdown.but subject to audit <a href="https://t.co/4q5Z4vEJWh" rel="nofollow">pic.twitter.com/4q5Z4vEJWh</a></div>— Rowena V. Guanzon (@commrguanzon) <a href="https://twitter.com/commrguanzon/status/731425685852446720" rel="nofollow">May 14, 2016</a></blockquote><script async="" charset="utf-8" src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js"></script></center><br />Guanzon said that OAV votes will not be in the transparency server. It will be manually uploaded [<i>to the central server]</i>. <br /><br />The combined votes (PH partial and OAV) will cut the lead of Robredo to 131,305 votes.<br /><br />While the OAV counts are crucial to decide who will be the next vice president of the country, the remaining local votes that still to be transmitted to the Comelec server will be a big factor for the race.<br /><br />Comelec Chair Juan Andres “Andy” Bautista announced that the poll body’s voter turnout for the May 9 polls reached a historic 81.62 percent. Of the 55,735,757 million registered voters, about 45 million actually exercised their right of suffrage.<br /><br />The combined data from transparency server shows that 43,708,556 of local votes already counted. This adds to the 432,706 votes from OAV. The expected remaining votes stood at around 1.3 million votes.<br /><br />Based from the data of Inquirer for the <a href="http://newsinfo.inquirer.net/785553/list-areas-provinces-countries-transmit-2016-philippine-election-results" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">precincts left</a> until 100-percent transmission (as of May 13), the grand total of registered votes is around 1.2 million or can be translated to 1 million using 81.62-percent turnout.<br /><br />The Summit Express has calculated the most probable votes per province (areas have yet to transmit election returns) using the <a href="http://ph.rappler.com/elections/2016/results/map" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">results map of Rappler</a> (Who is Winning Where?) and the percentage votes of candidates based transmitted returns. The idea is demography has direct relation to the majority of the casted votes.<br /><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3zUVVOtEbVK_2rYc6LLVtFhF4zwFwJDE9u9I212q2KgBxGu2RE_aEy69KWP70cdZJcT8Z_x4u9YchtS_fK7tx05LNCEaSblVMw4mNaPhGDOQfp4BO2fuebYRJegMBMr0-RiBL_FUmjhna/s1600/results-map-rappler.JPG" imageanchor="1" rel="nofollow" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img alt="Rappler results map" border="0" class="img" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg3zUVVOtEbVK_2rYc6LLVtFhF4zwFwJDE9u9I212q2KgBxGu2RE_aEy69KWP70cdZJcT8Z_x4u9YchtS_fK7tx05LNCEaSblVMw4mNaPhGDOQfp4BO2fuebYRJegMBMr0-RiBL_FUmjhna/s1600/results-map-rappler.JPG" title="Rappler results map" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Rappler.com results map: Marcos won in Northern Luzon and Metro Manila while Robredo dominated in Southern Luzon, Visayas and portion of Mindanao.</td></tr></tbody></table><br />Data analysis shows Robredo might get 366,402 as compared to Marcos' 287,638 total votes in the remaining precincts nationwide. The probable vote counts (PH final, unofficial including OAV) of Robredo and Marcos will climb to 14.48 and 14.27 million respectively.<br /><center><div class="infogram-embed" data-id="_/SuCzcfSSkIZWYLdwaAWs" data-title="Untitled chart" data-type="interactive"></div><script>!function(e,t,n,s){var i="InfogramEmbeds",o=e.getElementsByTagName(t),d=o[0],a=/^http:/.test(e.location)?"http:":"https:";if(/^\/{2}/.test(s)&&(s=a+s),window[i]&&window[i].initialized)window[i].process&&window[i].process();else if(!e.getElementById(n)){var r=e.createElement(t);r.async=1,r.id=n,r.src=s,d.parentNode.insertBefore(r,d)}}(document,"script","infogram-async","//e.infogr.am/js/dist/embed-loader-min.js");</script><div style="border-top: 1px solid #dadada; font-family: "arial important"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 15px; margin: 0 30px; padding: 8px 0; text-align: center;"><a href="https://infogr.am/9ad086b4-8393-41ad-9be4-df82b1185ed4" rel="nofollow" style="color: #989898!important; text-decoration: none!important;" target="_blank">Leni vs. BBM VP race forecast</a><br /><a href="https://infogr.am/" rel="nofollow" style="color: #989898!important; text-decoration: none!important;" target="_blank"></a></div></center><br />For transparency, here's the sample computation of votes:<br /><div style="display: block; font-family: "helvetica" , "arial" , sans-serif; font-size: 14px; font-stretch: normal; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 12px auto 6px auto;"><a href="https://www.scribd.com/doc/312633937/Precincts-Left-Until-100-Percent-Transmission?secret_password=IurypmF6Y0ccmNN75773" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: underline;" target="_blank" title="View Precincts Left Until 100 Percent Transmission on Scribd">Precincts Left Until 100 Percent Transmission</a> by <a href="https://www.scribd.com/user/137380979/TheSummitExpress" rel="nofollow" style="text-decoration: underline;" target="_blank" title="View TheSummitExpress's profile on Scribd">TheSummitExpress</a></div><iframe class="scribd_iframe_embed" data-aspect-ratio="1.2941176470588236" data-auto-height="false" frameborder="0" height="600" id="doc_66922" scrolling="no" src="https://www.scribd.com/embeds/312633937/content?start_page=1&view_mode=scroll&access_key=key-D1m12HH0uI7FUi28fveG&show_recommendations=true" width="100%"></iframe><br /><br />Reports said that official canvassing of votes for the presidential and vice-presidential election will most likely to start on May 25. It is the sole jurisdiction of the Congress sitting as the National Board of Canvassers, according to the poll body.<br /><br />Under the Constitution and the election law, there are two types of certificates of canvass (COCs) that Congress will use in its tally: the electronic certificates to be generated by the computerized consolidation and canvassing system and the manually accomplished COCs to be delivered by the provincial, city and special canvassing board to the Senate.<br /><br />Senate President Franklin Drilon could not give a timeframe on when the entire canvassing would be concluded, although they have until June 30 to proclaim a president and vice president.<br /><br /><i><b>Disclaimer</b>: The unofficial figures and sample computations above do not intend to create confusion, but it has a goal to give a quick analysis of the possible result of the vice presidential election.</i></div>

FORECAST: Robredo wins over Marcos in vice presidential race

MANILA, Philippines - Liberal Party (LP) bet Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo won the vice presidential race against Independent candidate Se...

Marcos supporters gather in Luneta amid Plan B allegation

<div dir="ltr" style="text-align: left;" trbidi="on">MANILA, Philippines- Amid cheating allegations against leading vice-presidential candidate Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo, supporters of vice presidential candidate Sen. Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr.  have gathered at Rizal Park in Manila to express solidarity.<br /><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBOINrTvXvC3Cr6g1DkhCzpRtH8QWuzpJaqFhNW-tMCFy1qpiv36gdazBz1k3UXySxSffwkKZLBCKJH1ycangnVeb4v-q5tTWBa-UNpjkZKUpc3QYXqHMoPj-oQyEmZ6y8S173VprTDvfH/s1600/bbm-planb.jpg" imageanchor="1" rel="nofollow" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="Sen. Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr" border="0" class="img" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjBOINrTvXvC3Cr6g1DkhCzpRtH8QWuzpJaqFhNW-tMCFy1qpiv36gdazBz1k3UXySxSffwkKZLBCKJH1ycangnVeb4v-q5tTWBa-UNpjkZKUpc3QYXqHMoPj-oQyEmZ6y8S173VprTDvfH/s1600/bbm-planb.jpg" title="Sen. Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr" /></a></div><br />Over 100 supporters, mostly wearing red shirts, came together after a plea urging Marcos’ supporters to “occupy Luneta” beginning 9 a.m. on Wednesday, May 11 was posted on Facebook.<br /><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidtwlOpryyu_gxg_uN8PYA4zP5Nx4D_ajlgx2mtINBikA6cPNILqtmWgDIZ8PUIZwg3vIkjs6sibnILKfnryVFh171KeABGO5QI7YNwxRxraUfLEkqnVTkCv7O3nLlmteUpIACyRHR9x75/s1600/bbm-plan-b2.jpg" imageanchor="1" rel="nofollow" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img alt="BBM supporters express solidarity as they occupy Luneta Park." border="0" class="img" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidtwlOpryyu_gxg_uN8PYA4zP5Nx4D_ajlgx2mtINBikA6cPNILqtmWgDIZ8PUIZwg3vIkjs6sibnILKfnryVFh171KeABGO5QI7YNwxRxraUfLEkqnVTkCv7O3nLlmteUpIACyRHR9x75/s1600/bbm-plan-b2.jpg" title="BBM supporters express solidarity as they occupy Luneta Park." /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption">BBM supporters express solidarity as they occupy Luneta Park. PHOTO CREDIT: Inquirer</td></tr></tbody></table>On Tuesday, May 10, Marcos alleged irregularities in the partial and unofficial counting of the votes for the vice-presidential race claiming that the Aquino administration’s plan B is in full swing.<br /><br />Marcos said: “Talagang yung napapag-usapan na Plan B ay mukhang talagang itinutuloy nila dahil iniiipit ang pag-transmit ng ibang mga boto na galing sa balwarte ko parang pinapalabas na nangunguna si Cong. Robredo.”<br /><br />(They are really pushing Plan B and they are preventing the transmission of votes from my stronghold to make it appear that Cong. Robredo is leading.)<br /><br />Earlier, the Ilocano lawmaker revealed Liberal Party’s alleged Plan B to ensure that President Benigno Aquino III will not end up in jail after the National Elections.<br /><br />“The Plan B is to ensure victory for Leni Robredo and remove Duterte via impeachment. In this way, Noynoy [the President’s nickname] and his minions will avoid being jailed,” Marcos revealed in a news conference.<br /><br />Meanwhile, Marcos’ running mate and losing presidential candidate Sen. Miriam Defensor-Santiago has also accused the administration of “manufacturing numbers” for Robredo.<br /><br /><div id="unruly_placeholder"></div>In a statement sent to reporters, Santiago said: “The roller coaster ride of vice presidential candidate Ferdinand Marcos Jr. invites comparison with a garrison state. In such a state, the authoritarian government feels free to manufacture numbers as they are needed.”<br /><br />Political analyst Jan Robert Go, on the other hand, believes that there is no reason to doubt the vice presidential results if you trust the partial and unofficial presidential tally.<br /><br />Go explained: "When you put in the ballot, it (vote counting machine) reads the same ballot. The same machine receives the ballot ... And we have not heard of any complaints about the manifest in the receipts.”<br /><br /><b>--Mini, The Summit Express</b></div>

Marcos supporters gather in Luneta amid Plan B allegation

MANILA, Philippines- Amid cheating allegations against leading vice-presidential candidate Camarines Sur Rep. Leni Robredo, supporters of vi...